Cov nqi lag luam lub lim tiam no tag nrho tsis muaj zog tom qab muaj zog thawj zaug, nyob rau hauv cov tsoos slack xav tau kev ua tau zoo teeb, ob peb ntawm cov khoom xa tuaj, lub lis piam tom qab lub sij hawm ntsia hlau tom qab ib tug tsis tu ncua poob nyob rau hauv rebound, nrog rau tsoom fwv teb chaws cia kom nce paj paj poob rau hauv av, qhov chaw. pessimism, cov peev txheej tsawg zuj zus ntxiv, tus nqi tau rov qab me ntsis, tab sis qhov kev tawm tsam tam sim no rov xav tau tseem tsis muaj zog, qhov txuas ntxiv yuav rub tawm tseem nyob ntawm sab xis, tus nqi steel yuav ua li cas mus rau lub lim tiam tom ntej, Cia peb mus.. .
Ua ntej, muaj cov hauv qab no cuam tshuam rau kev lag luam steel
1, ob tug thawj coj ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tau hais tias lawv tuaj yeem ua rau qeeb qeeb ntawm cov paj laum
Cov thawj tswj hwm ntawm Richmond thiab Boston Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve lub tsev txhab nyiaj rau hnub Friday tau qhia tias yuav ua rau muaj kev poob qis hauv kev nce qib yav tom ntej, tab sis tsis tau txiav txim siab qhov kev nce siab ntxiv.
2, Hlau zeb cov nyiaj tau los poob, hlau ore chaw nres nkoj kom nce
Thaum sawv ntxov lub Kaum Ib Hlis 4, pawg neeg ua lag luam ntawm Zhongjiao Association tau tuav lub rooj sib tham kev lag luam los ntawm video. Lub rooj sib tham tau tuav hais tias kev poob qis ntawm coke tus nqi muaj kev lag luam, tab sis qee lub lag luam hauv kev lag luam siv ib tus neeg steel mills tso tawm tus nqi raws li tus nqi ntawm tus cwj pwm muaj feem cuam tshuam ntau dua.
3. Tag nrho cov khoom vaj khoom tsev qiv nyiaj tau tshaj tawm hauv thawj 10 lub hlis tag nrho yog 400 billion yuan
Raws li cov ntaub ntawv tau txais los ntawm Middle Finger Academy, txij lub Ib Hlis mus txog Lub Kaum Hli 2022, tag nrho cov nyiaj qiv nyiaj uas tau muab los ntawm cov tuam txhab vaj tse yog 400.39 billion yuan, nqis 16.9 feem pua ntawm xyoo, thiab cov nyiaj tau los ntawm cov tuam txhab ntiag tug nkaus xwb. suav txog li 5 feem pua.
Thib ob, khw muag khoom
Rebar: Ua ntej muaj zog thiab tom qab ntawd tsis muaj zog
Lub lim tiam no, tsoomfwv cia siab kom nce cov paj laum kom du, tsis zoo tig zoo, thiab qee lub tuam txhab steel nkag mus rau hauv lub xeev ntawm kev kho, lub peev xwm txheeb ze poob qis, rau lub lag luam tam sim no los ua lub luag haujlwm txhawb nqa, tab sis qee qhov ntawm cov xwm txheej tseem muaj. kuj tseem ceeb heev, cuam tshuam rau qhov kev xav tau ntawm cov nyiaj ntsuab ib txwm xav tau, kev lag luam tsis ruaj khov tsis ntev los no, kev hloov pauv tsis tu ncua, xav tias lub lim tiam tom ntej rebar nqi lossis muaj zog ua ntej lawv tsis muaj zog.
Kub yob: nqaim oscillation
Lub lim tiam no, kev lag luam kub yob ua lag luam yav tom ntej qis qis, kev lag luam ntim tau nce ntxiv, tab sis nrog qhov ntsuas kub tsis ntev los no maj mam txo qis, qhov kev thov sib txawv, thiab kev sib kis hauv tsev tseem hnyav heev, luv luv thov tso tawm tsis muaj zog, tus nqi rov qab muaj zog. tsis txaus, qhov kub yob tus nqi yuav tsum ruaj khov nyob rau hauv qhov nqaim ntau lub lim tiam tom ntej.
Medium phaj: Ua ntej muaj zog thiab tom qab ntawd tsis muaj zog
Cov tub lag luam ua haujlwm qis cov khoom lag luam tau nce lub lim tiam no, cov peev txheej kev lag luam, kev ntxhov siab me ntsis tseem tsis yog loj, tab sis tag nrho cov peev txheej rau lub lim tiam tom ntej, kev sib kis loj heev cuam tshuam kev lag luam kev ntseeg siab, cua txias thiab cua txias tuaj thoob teb chaws, xws li tsis muaj zog thov ceev faj saib xyuas. , cov ntaub ntawv cov khoom lag luam kom ncaj ncees rau lub lim tiam no, mus rau lub tsev qiv ntawv acceleration, lub rooj yuav tsum tau txhim kho, qhov tsis sib haum xeeb ntawm cov khoom siv thiab kev thov tsis loj, lub lim tiam tom ntej yuav tsum tau nqi tom qab thawj zaug tsis muaj zog, kev hloov kho poob siab.
Sawb steel: qhov poob siab tsis muaj zog
Tam sim no, cov txiaj ntsig zoo ntawm cov zeb zeb steel tau tawg, ua ke nrog cov khoom lag luam txuas ntxiv hauv lub Hoobkas, kev txaus siab los kho cov hlau zeb nce ntxiv, thiab cov khoom tsim tawm tuaj yeem poob qis me ntsis rau lub lim tiam tom ntej. Tsis ntev los no, ntau qhov chaw ntawm lub tebchaws tseem cuam tshuam los ntawm kev sib kis, thiab qee thaj chaw tseem nyob rau theem tswj hwm. Nrog rau qhov kawg ntawm lub caij nyoog siab tshaj plaws thiab lub caij nplooj ntoos hlav tuaj, qhov kev thov yuav tsum tsis muaj zog ntxiv. Nws cia siab tias tus nqi sawb hlau los yog poob siab yuav tsis muaj zog rau lub lim tiam tom ntej.
Profile: thawj zaug muaj zog thiab tom qab ntawd tsis muaj zog
Tam sim no twb nyob rau thaum ntxov Kaum ib hlis, thiab nrog rau lub advent ntawm lub cua sov lub caij, qhov kub thiab txias yuav maj mam txo, steel thov mus rau hauv ib txwm qis lub caij, txawm tias qhov chaw seem tom qab kev tsim kho xav tau, tab sis qhov kev thov yog ib qho nyuaj heev kom muaj lub loj heev breakthrough, lwm lub tuam txhab muaj. muab tso rau pem hauv ntej txoj kev npaj tu, thiab muaj ib tug nyiam nce, muab siab los yog yuav raug txo, nyob rau hauv xaus, hom nqi nyob rau lub lim tiam tom ntej los yog yuav nyob rau hauv cov xwm txheej uas twb muaj lawm tom qab thawj lub zog tsis muaj zog sideways.
Tube: nqaim oscillation
Cov yeeb nkab ua lag luam tsis muaj zog tom qab muaj zog thawj lub lim tiam no, raws li cov ntsia hlau qis, raj Hoobkas nce hauv kab, tab sis kev lees paub ntawm kev ua lag luam, qhov kev hloov pauv tiag tiag tseem yuav tsaus, cov yeeb nkab Hoobkas tsev qiv ntawv nkees lub lim tiam no, tube Hoobkas kom siab yog nyob rau hauv, vim tias muaj kev sib kis, rov pib poob qis, qhov kev thov qis qis tseem tsis muaj zog, clinch ib qho kev txhim kho hauv zos nkaus xwb, cov nqi nce tseem tsis muaj zog. Nws cia siab tias cov yeeb nkab lag luam yuav yog qhov nqaim-ntau qhov poob siab rau lub lim tiam tom ntej.
Thib peb, kev lag luam raw khoom
Billet: Kev ua haujlwm oscillating
Tam sim no, billet xa hauv qee qhov chaw tseem nyob rau theem qis, thiab nws yuav nyuaj rau kev nce ntxiv hauv lub sijhawm luv. Cov khoom lag luam ntawm cov khoom siv hluav taws xob qis qis yog nyob rau sab siab, thiab feem ntau ntawm lawv nyob rau hauv lub xeev poob. Rau billets, lawv tseem tuaj yeem yuav ntawm kev thov. Cov khoom lag luam billet tam sim no poob ntau heev, cov tuam txhab steel txhawb nqa tus nqi yuav nce, xav tias lub lim tiam tom ntej billet lag luam lossis poob siab me ntsis kev ua haujlwm.
Hlau ore: hloov kho poob siab
Tsis ntev los no vim tsis tu ncua ntawm kev tsim cov hlau mills tau nce thiab ntau lawm rau lub sijhawm ntev, cov hlau zoo kom yooj yim rau kev ncig. Tab sis nyob rau hauv lub off-season xav tau, steel mills kev txaus siab ntau lawm yog tsawg, hlau ore xav tau tseem poob qis, ntxiv rau cov khoom kawg ntawm qhov chaw nres nkoj tsub zuj zuj, peripheral xa khoom muaj ib tug zuj zus, nce thiab down qhov teeb meem, lub lim tiam tom ntej mus saib lub ore nqi kom tswj kev poob siab hloov qauv.
Coke: nqaim thiab tsis muaj zog
Coke cov nqi tseem tshuav ntau dua thaum ntxov, kev tsim cov kev xav, tus nqi coke tus nqi qeeb ntawm cov khoom xa tuaj, cov khoom xa tuaj, me ntsis raws li kev sib kis thiab coking thee nqi poob qis hauv cov khoom kawg, jiao qi boiling thee nqi txuas ntxiv poob thiab cov txiaj ntsig tau kho, coke. kev lag luam txhim kho tag nrho cov peev txheej siv, tab sis tib lub sij hawm tus nqi them nyiaj yug wanes, coke nqi tsis muaj zog lub xeev ntawm lub siab, Coke kev lag luam yuav tsum nqaim thiab tsis muaj zog lub lim tiam tom ntej.
Cov hlau nplaum: Oscillating ua haujlwm
Los ntawm kev tuaj txog tsis ntev los no ntawm steel mills thiab cov ntaub ntawv noj txhua hnub, kev tuaj txog tsis ntev los no ntawm steel mills pib qis dua qhov kev noj txhua hnub, steel mills cov khoom muag pom tau poob qis, tawm ntawm cov khoom siv steel mills mining seem kev txaus siab yog ua kom muaj zog, tsim kom muaj qhov zoo. txhawb rau tus nqi seem tam sim no. Tab sis kev coj mus rau hauv tus account tam sim no cov khoom tiav yog tseem tsis meej heev, steel zeb profits yog ib qho nyuaj los txhim kho, nws xav tias lub lim tiam tom ntej domestic seem nqi poob siab ua hauj lwm.
Npua hlau: ua haujlwm tsis muaj zog
Nyob rau hauv nruab nrab thiab lig ib feem ntawm lub lim tiam no, tus qauv ntawm seem steel, cov khoom tiav, dub yav tom ntej txhim kho, ua ke nrog cov nroj tsuag hlau ob peb profits los yog txawm poob, zus tau tej cov hlau cog nce npua hlau mov txo, hlau cog nqi poob siab. kom txo tau, hlau nqi poob qis me ntsis qeeb, kev lag luam tsis muaj zog thiab ruaj khov. Tam sim no, qee qhov steel mills tau pib qhov thib ob ntawm coke nce thiab txo qis, cov khoom siv raw kev txhawb nqa tsis muaj zog, kev lag luam tus cwj pwm tseem tsis zoo, nws xav tias kev lag luam npua hlau yuav txuas ntxiv tsis muaj zog rau lub lim tiam tom ntej.
Iv. Cov lus qhia dav
Lub lim tiam no kev ua lag luam pom tias muaj kev rov qab los, feem ntau ntawm qhov chaw yog qhov muag me me, feem ntau ntawm kev lag luam yog tsom rau kev kwv yees, kev txhawb zog nce siab yog txwv, kev txhawb nqa luv luv nqi, cov tub lag luam qis dua cov khoom muag, kev ua haujlwm siab. zoo txav. Kev lag luam macroeconomic tam sim no, kev sib kis thoob ntiaj teb thiab lub caij tsis muaj caij nyoog, kev thov tso tawm txuas ntxiv. Volatility yog nquag, kev lag luam kev xav yog me ntsis divergent, yav tom ntej kev ua lag luam yuav tsum tau ceev faj, yog li nws yuav tsum tau lub lim tiam tom ntej steel nqi los yog thawj muaj zog tom qab tsis muaj zog, qhov ntau ntawm 20-60 ib ntus.
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